Live 2026 AL East standings, wild card race, and the Baltimore Sports Feed Playoff Odds — our original probability model built on official MLB data, updated after every game. Use the tabs below to see the AL East, wild card picture, playoff odds, or all MLB divisions.
The Baltimore Sports Feed Playoff Odds model calculates the Orioles' playoff probability based on their current wild card standing and games remaining in the season. The model updates automatically every time the page loads, pulling live data from the official MLB Stats API. See the Playoff Odds tab above for the current figure, alongside links to FanGraphs and Baseball Reference simulation models.
The Orioles' current games back from the final AL Wild Card spot is shown in the AL Wild Card tab above. Three teams from each league qualify for the wild card — the Orioles' distance from that third spot is the key number to watch. The standings pull live from the official MLB Stats API after every game.
The AL East standings — including wins, losses, winning percentage, games back from the division leader, and current streak — are shown in the AL East tab. The AL East includes the Baltimore Orioles, New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox, and Toronto Blue Jays.
The Baltimore Sports Feed Playoff Odds is an original probability model that calculates the Orioles' chances of reaching the postseason using their current games back from the third wild card spot and the number of games remaining. It uses a logistic probability function calibrated to historical wild card outcomes. The model is not a simulation — it's a live calculation that updates with each page load. For simulation-based models, see FanGraphs and Baseball Reference.
The 2026 MLB trade deadline is July 31. The Orioles' position in the wild card race at that date will be the primary factor in whether the front office is a buyer or seller. Teams within striking distance of a playoff spot typically add pieces; teams out of contention may trade veterans for prospects.